Humanitarian aid must be based on needs but is underfunded and unevenly distributed. This DDB report develops a model that estimated needs in the event of disasters. The results were presented during the webinar How to mitigate disasters: reducing risks, estimating needs and ensuring health system resilience.
- There are easy to find, accessible indicators that correlate with severity and the scale of needs in complex emergencies.
- The application of the model is sensitive to changes over time and shows variations in severity between complex emergencies.
- Out of the selection of indicators from commonly used disaster indexes, none are able to predict the scale of needs after earthquakes.