2024 Climate and Environment Mapping

Swedish Bilateral Climate Change Adaptation Aid: Comparing Practice with Evidence

Lennart Weitzel

Climate change is a pressing global issue with severe consequences for ecosystems, biodiversity, and human societies. Many vulnerable countries, particularly those in the Global South, are disproportionately affected. International aid is crucial in supporting these countries to build resilience and mitigate climate-related impacts. Sweden has made significant contributions to climate change adaptation (CCA) through its aid programs.

This report aims to analyse the structure of Sweden’s bilateral CCA aid portfolio and assess its alignment with current research evidence. It uses a quantitative approach based on intervention-level data from a selected sample of Swedish bilateral CCA aid interventions. The analysis involves mapping the portfolio according to sectors, intervention types, and outcomes, and then comparing it to the evidence gap map developed in previous research.

The analysis reveals that Sweden’s CCA aid primarily focuses on vulnerable countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. While the portfolio emphasizes interventions that strengthen the enabling environment, there are few investments in physical measures like nature-based solutions and infrastructure.

The report also highlights a significant gap between the Swedish CCA portfolio and current research evidence. Many interventions are implemented in areas with limited evidence on their effectiveness. This suggests that Sweden could enhance the effectiveness of its CCA aid by shifting its focus towards interventions with a stronger evidence base. Or support research or evaluations in areas where evidence is missing.

Overall, this report provides valuable insights into the structure and effectiveness of Sweden’s CCA aid. The findings can inform policymakers and decision-makers in designing more effective and evidence-based interventions to address the challenges posed by climate change.